Cutting through the somewhat diplomatic language of his speech today, the Governor of the Bank of England has effectively said that austerity policies have gone too far within the EU and that new vision and policies need to be put in place to get growth going again.
Austerity measures were put in place originally in the EU to ensure that national and local public finances had sufficient cash flow liquidity to deal with the consequences of having to borrow so much money to bail out the banks and to deal with the loss of tax revenue in the recession caused by the credit crunch. This exacerbated the economic downturn and was counter intuitive to the need to find cash to invest in generating economic growth which would drive higher tax inflows.
In the UK, austerity might initially have helped the UK Government’s cash flow management when it had to borrow so much money to bail out the banks but under David Cameron’s premiership the UK National Debt has gone up significantly (see first graph) and his austerity programme has failed to regenerate the economy and restore order to the public finances. Despite his rhetoric about all the new jobs created, the tax take from those new jobs is low and is a reflection that a lot are low paying low skill jobs that can never hope to be the backbone of a new dynamic thriving economy.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/e...-mountain.html
In the case of Greece, the new Prime Minister has said that there will be no default on repayments of Greek debt but that he will roll back austerity and the harm that it has caused Greece and will get the Greek economy growing again. One of his proposals will be to reschedule debt and interest repayments so that they are linked to growth in the Greek economy. This is intended to give some wriggle room so that the Greek Government can invest in the economy first and repay loans second rather than the other way around.
Going off topic, it is not likely to be long before there is a severe clash between Alexis Tsipras and David Cameron over the EU’s role in destablising Ukraine and over David Cameron’s role in particular in starting the new Cold War against Russia.